2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and pick

The 2012 Euro Cup is down to a final four teams, and when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they'll be playing to face the winner with the Spain vs. Portugal game that can place later today.
Recent history between those two teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about the past, these are devoted to the game at hand.
The German squad have never beaten Italy in a competitive match.
"We can't turn back time, ignore about this, the past doesn't be the cause in your planning," said check here German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is Germany has not won against Italy inside a major tournament, but what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as they're the favourite at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game is going to be a difficult, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong way with this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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